Posted on April 14 2018
President Trump — shedding staff, shredding norms — remains defiant, with little evidence that his critics are persuading supporters to abandon him. For some Trump opponents, this has led to new introspection about the effectiveness of “the resistance.” Case in point: David Brooks, a self-declared “Never Trumper,” proclaimed this week that the “anti-Trump movement is a failure” and that unless “somebody comes up with a better defense strategy, Trump and Trumpism will dominate” American politics in the future. Brooks is not alone in this second-guessing about the Trump opposition.
Perhaps some Never Trumpers believed that a mere “summer school” course on Life in Opposition — a few columns, some cable chatter and warning shots from the special counsel — would be enough to topple a Humpty Dumpty president. Most of us who have been in the trenches in politics had no such delusions. Here’s a reality check: The resistance is not “failing” — it is gathering steam for a long, uncertain battle ahead.
Moreover, the anti-Trump movement has shown political progress where it matters most: the ballot box. In the past 150 days, Trump opponents have won a blow-out in Virginia, the first newly elected Democratic senator from Alabama since 1986 and a victory in a Pennsylvania House district Trump carried by nearly 20 points. If the anti-Trump movement is “failing,” that’s news to the GOP leaders sounding “blue wave” tsunami alerts.
Nor have the anti-Trump movement’s wins been merely political: They have come in policymaking, too. Obamacare — albeit wounded — remains alive, covering about 12 million Americans. Deep cuts in social programs were reversed by a bipartisan spending bill Trump loathed — but signed. Trump’s wall is not built, states are enacting common-sense gun reforms and Trump’s environmental protection rollback is more rhetoric than reality.
True, some of these wins may be transitory, as Trump continues to press allies in Congress for action and to stack the courts with judges less likely to constrain him. But even with the White House and Congress in GOP hands, the anti-Trump movement has defied the odds to block many of Trump’s most outrageous ideas and preserved critical elements of President Barack Obama’s achievements.
Two final points show the flaw in the new anti-anti-Trump thinking.
First, the record number of Americans taking part in “resistance” protests may not yet have won over their fellow citizens, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t making progress. In February 1965, even after years of marching, a Gallup poll showed that a substantial amount of Americans (42 percent) still thought civil rights enforcement was moving too fast, rejecting the movement’s view that more action was needed — the month before the “Bloody Sunday” march from Selma to Montgomery, Ala. A year later, again, after countless antiwar protests, a poll found that Vietnam “hawks” in the population outnumbered “doves,” 47 to 26 percent. Were the civil rights or anti-Vietnam movements “failures” in the mid-1960s? Or did they simply have more work to do before achieving their ultimate victories?
The resistance has much more to do, for sure. Victory is far from assured in either 2018 or 2020. But the anti-Trump movement has not failed. It is only just beginning.
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